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Validea’s Top Five Basic Materials Stocks Based On Joseph Piotroski – 11/24/2019

The following are the top rated Basic Materials stocks according to Validea’s Book/Market Investor model based on the published strategy of Joseph Piotroski. This value-quant strategy screens for high book-to-market stocks, and then separates out financially sound firms by looking at a host of improving financial criteria.

ALCOA CORP (AA) is a mid-cap growth stock in the Metal Mining industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Joseph Piotroski is 90% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Alcoa Corporation, formerly Alcoa Upstream Corporation, is engaged in the production of bauxite, alumina and aluminum of various cast and rolled products. The Company is engaged in the production and management of aluminum and alumina combined through its participation in various aspects of the industry, such as technology, mining, refining, smelting, and recycling. The Company’s segments include Bauxite, Alumina, Aluminum, Cast Products, Energy and Rolled Products. The Company’s Bauxite segment represents its global portfolio of bauxite mining assets. The Company’s Alumina segment represents its refining system across the world, and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it directly to internal and external smelter customers across the world. The Company’s Aluminum segment represents its smelter system across the world. Its Energy segment represents its portfolio of energy assets, with power production capacity of approximately 1,685 megawatts.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS
RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS
CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS
CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS FAIL
CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS
CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS
CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS
CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is a small-cap growth stock in the Chemical Manufacturing industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Joseph Piotroski is 90% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Green Plains Inc. is an ethanol producer. The Company owns and operates assets throughout the ethanol value chain, including upstream, with grain handling and storage through its ethanol production facilities, and downstream, with marketing and distribution services. It operates through four segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, Food and Food Ingredients, and Partnership. The ethanol production segment includes production of ethanol, distillers grains and corn oil. The agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain procurement. The food and food ingredients segment includes a cattle feedlot operation. The Company’s master limited partnership, Green Plains Partners LP (the partnership), provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets and other related assets and businesses.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS
RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS
CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS
CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS FAIL CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS
CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS
CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS
CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: FAIL
CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

ARCELORMITTAL SA (ADR) (MT) is a large-cap value stock in the Iron & Steel industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Joseph Piotroski is 90% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: ArcelorMittal S.A. (ArcelorMittal) is a holding company. The Company, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates steel manufacturing and mining facilities in Europe, North and South America, Asia and Africa. ArcelorMittal operates through five segments, which include NAFTA; Europe; Brazil; Africa and Commonwealth of Independent States (ACIS), and Mining. The NAFTA segment produces flat, long and tubular products. The Brazil segment includes the flat operations of Brazil, and the long and tubular operations of Brazil and neighboring countries. The Europe segment is the flat steel producer in Europe. The ACIS segment produces a combination of flat, long products and tubular products. The Mining segment comprises all mines owned by ArcelorMittal in the Americas, Asia, Europe and Africa. It produces a range of finished and semi-finished steel products (semis). The Company operates through its subsidiary Exosun.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS
RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS
CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: FAIL
CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS FAIL CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS
CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS
CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS
CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: FAIL CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS
CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

TURQUOISE HILL RESOURCES LTD (TRQ) is a small-cap value stock in the Metal Mining industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Joseph Piotroski is 90% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. is an international mining company. The Company focuses on the operation and further development of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine in Southern Mongolia, which is the Company’s principal material mineral resource property. The Company’s Oyu Tolgoi mine is held through approximately 65% interest in Oyu Tolgoi LLC (Oyu Tolgoi) and the remaining approximately 35% interest is held by Erdenes Oyu Tolgoi LLC (Erdenes). The Company’s Oyu Tolgoi mine is located approximately 550 kilometers south of Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia’s capital city, and 80 kilometers north of the Mongolia-China border. The Company’s Mineralization on the property consists of porphyry-style copper, gold, silver and molybdenum contained in a linear structural trend (the Oyu Tolgoi Trend) of deposits throughout this trend. They include, from south to north, the Heruga Deposit, the Oyut deposit and the Hugo Dummett deposits (Hugo South, Hugo North and Hugo North Extension).

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS
RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS
CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: FAIL CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: FAIL
CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS FAIL CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS
CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS
CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS
CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: FAIL CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS
CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

TERNIUM SA (ADR) (TX) is a mid-cap value stock in the Iron & Steel industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Joseph Piotroski is 90% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Ternium S.A. is a producer of steel products. The Company produces finished and semi-finished steel products and iron ore, which are sold either directly to steel manufacturers, steel processors or end users. The Company operates through two segments: Steel and Mining. The Steel segment includes the sales of steel products and the Mining segment includes the sales of iron ore products, which are primarily inter-company. The Steel segment comprises three operating segments: Mexico, the Southern Region and Other Markets. In the steel segment, steel products include slabs, billets and round bars (steel in its basic, semi-finished state), hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plate, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets and pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, roll-formed products, and other products. In the mining segment, iron ore is sold as concentrates (fines) and pellets.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS BOOK/MARKET RATIO: PASS
RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS CHANGE IN RETURN ON ASSETS: PASS
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS: PASS
CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: FAIL CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: FAIL CASH COMPARED TO NET INCOME: PASS
CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS FAIL CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS CHANGE IN LONG TERM DEBT/ASSETS PASS
CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS CHANGE IN CURRENT RATIO: PASS
CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS CHANGE IN SHARES OUTSTANDING: PASS
CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: FAIL CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: PASS CHANGE IN GROSS MARGIN: FAIL
CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS CHANGE IN ASSET TURNOVER: PASS

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

Since its inception, Validea’s strategy based on Joseph Piotroski has returned 141.09% vs. 171.66% for the S&P 500. For more details on this strategy, click here

About Joseph Piotroski: Piotroski isn’t your typical Wall Street big shot. In fact, he’s not even a professional investor. He’s a good old numbers-crunching accountant and college professor. But in 2000, shortly after he started teaching at the University of Chicago’s Graduate School of Business, Piotroski published a groundbreaking paper in the Journal of Accounting Research entitled “Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers”. In it, Piotroski laid out an accounting-based stock-selection/shorting method that produced a 23 percent average annual back-tested return from 1976 through 1996 — more than double the S&P 500’s gain during that time. Piotroski’s findings were reported in major financial publiations like SmartMoney. Today, he teaches accounting at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business.

About Validea: Validea is an investment research service that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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