NEW YORK (Reuters) – Oil prices edged higher on Tuesday as better-than-expected U.S. manufacturing activity data spurred hope for a post-pandemic economic recovery, and as analysts forecast a sixth weekly drawdown in U.S. crude inventories.
Brent crude LCOc1 futures settled up 30 cents at $45.58 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures CLc1 settled at $42.76 a barrel, up 15 cents.
“Everyone is looking for a draw, of one degree or another, in the API this afternoon,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York. “The manufacturing numbers and the bullishness around the AstraZeneca virus vaccine added to the optimism,” he said.
U.S. crude stocks were forecast to have fallen by nearly 2 million barrels last week, according to analysts in a Reuters poll ahead of weekly data from the American Petroleum Institute at 4:30 p.m. ET (2030 GMT) and the government on Wednesday. [EIA/S]
Gasoline inventories were expected to have fallen by just over 3 million barrels.
U.S. manufacturing activity accelerated to a more than 1-1/2-year high in August amid a surge in new orders, but employment continued to lag, supporting views that the labor market recovery was losing momentum.
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of national factory activity increased to a reading of 56.0 last month from 54.2 in July. That was the highest level since January 2019 and marked three straight months of growth.
AstraZeneca (AZN.L) has expanded its previous agreement with Oxford Biomedica (OXB.L) to mass-produce the British drugmaker’s COVID-19 vaccine candidate, as it looks to scale-up supply ahead of a possible fast-track approval from the United States.
Strong Chinese manufacturing data also lifted oil prices, said Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst at OANDA.
The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index(PMI) showed China’s factory activity expanded at the fastest pace in nearly a decade last month, bolstered by the first increase in new export orders this year.
Bulls also pushed up equities, with the MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS close to a record peak on Tuesday.
Yet oil, which often moves in tandem with equities, remains reined in by demand concerns.
In a Reuters poll of 43 analysts and economists, global oil demand was seen contracting by between 8-10 million barrels per day (bpd) versus July’s 7.2-8.5 million bpd consensus.
Additional reporting by Sonali Paul and Seng Li Peng in Singapore and Shadia Nasralla in London; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Louise Heavens
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
